NFL predictions, picks for Week 14 slate

The Post’s Erich Richter makes his picks for Sunday’s and Monday’s NFL Week 14 slate.Tyrod Taylor will start Sunday, and while I don’t love the matchup, I think the Jets’ defense has played well enough to back them again here at home.Cold weather game for the Dolphins, there’s no way I’m trusting them here as road favorites even if it’s against the Jets.

The Dolphins’ defense, in particular their secondary, is among the worst in the NFL, so I actually expect some decent offensive performances from the Jets in a cover.We’re targeting Baltimore to cover easily this weekend.The Steelers’ offense is broken beyond repair: Pittsburgh is putting up just 5.1 yards per play, eighth worst in the NFL.

Even if the Ravens aren’t playing well, they’ve stayed mostly consistent in those categories this season.The Isaiah Likely goal-line fumble is extremely fluky, as are most turnovers.

That’s giving us a Ravens discount on Sunday.Take it and say thank you.My model loves the Falcons, showing some decent value on them in this game.

My projected score from this game is 24.92 to 20.40 in favor of the Seahawks.So you’re clearing at least two key numbers by grabbing the Falcons +7.

Kirk Cousins leads the Falcons’ offense against an opportunistic Seahawks defense.It’s a hold-your-nose spot to be sure; it’s possible Atlanta just collapses under pressure.It’s going to be absolutely freezing in Buffalo, but that’s no issue for Joe Burrrrrrrrow.

The superstar Bengals quarterback has been winning big games for Cincinnati without much help for most of his career.Now he gets Tee Higgins as well as Ja’Marr Chase back in the lineup as they look to keep their slim postseason hopes intact.

My model shows no value in the game, with a projected score of 30.06 to 24.25.Burrow is 18-3 ATS as an underdog, for what that trend is worth.Low-scoring games are usually tough to back the favorite, but this Browns defense attacking the league’s No.

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