2024 NFL Draft: Odds, prediction for Michael Penix Jr. landing spot
Michael Penix Jr.lit up the college football world last season with 4,903 passing yards and 36 touchdowns to 11 interceptions.
In the process, he led Washington to a Pac-12 Championship and national title game appearance.He made full use of his sixth year of eligibility, but it wasn’t easy to get to this point for Penix, who brings with him into the 2024 NFL Draft a complicated injury history.Penix is seeing significant first-round buzz from industry experts and media circles, and the betting odds reflect that sentiment.
Where does the betting opportunity lie for him? Let’s take a look at the current odds.DraftKings currently has Penix priced at -320 to be selected under the draft position of 32.5, essentially meaning he’s a -320 favorite to be a first-round pick.Meanwhile, Penix is +240 to go over 32.5 or outside the first round. The favorite to land Penix is the Raiders at +200 on DraftKings, while the Vikings are second at +400.
Minnesota currently picks at No.11, with Las Vegas sitting at No.
13.The Seahawks (+550), Broncos (+650), and Patriots (+850) round out the top five.All three of those teams own picks in the Round 1 between third overall and 16th.Be fore discussing specific team fits, let’s first take a look at Penix’s draft profile.While Penix’s funky left-handed throwing motion looks quite different from that of most NFL starters, he gets plenty of velocity and touch on his throws to all three levels.
He has excellent arm strength to push the ball deep downfield and is adept at throwing outside the numbers.He ranked 10th in the FBS with a big-time throw rate of 7.3%, per PFF, and his 43 big-time throws led the country.However, Penix wasn’t asked to throw the ball over the middle of the field much at Washington, and he certainly will be in the NFL.
He also showed inconsistent ball placement, and his 39.5% uncatchable pass rate on throws of 10-plus yards is tied for the highest in this draft class.Penix gives his receivers a chance t...