Yankees Aaron Judge running away with 2025 American League MVP award

Not even two full months into the 2025 MLB season, oddsmakers think Aaron Judge has all but locked up the American League MVP award. The Yankees slugger is a -8000 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook, which implies that there’s a 98.8 percent chance Judge will win the award for the third time. Judge is off to one of the best starts of his career, helping him lap the field in the junior circuit.Through Tuesday’s game, Judge is hitting .395/.488/.746 with 18 home runs and 47 RBIs.Oddsmakers are giving him a decent shot at winning the AL Triple Crown (+175) and an outside chance at becoming the first player to hit .400 over a full season since Ted Williams in 1941 (+5000).

The Royals’ Witt is the only player anywhere remotely close to Judge at +3000.Witt, who was the second-favorite coming into the season after finishing second in the MVP voting in 2024, has taken a step back this season, hitting .289/.351/.477 with five homers.

Jose Ramirez is the only other player with odds better than +12000.In the National League, Shohei Ohtani is a heavy -210 favorite to win the award, setting up a potential back-to-back MVP winner in both leagues.

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