Mets vs. Dodgers prediction: Our best bet for Monday night

The Mets just may be playing the best baseball in the National League, which makes it even nicer that we get an extended look at them against the vaunted Dodgers.The defending champs just took two of three against the Yankees (36-22) and play host to the Mets for a West Coast battle.Los Angeles is a -160 favorite on bet365 for Monday’s tilt as they send Dustin May to the mound opposite Paul Blackburn, who is making his 2025 debut.Blackburn struggled in his first season with the Mets, starting in just five games with a 5.18 ERA in 2024.May, once a top prospect, has battled through a litany of injuries in his time with the Dodgers, including nearly dying after choking on a piece of lettuce.
For those looking to bet on who will win this four-game series, you can do so on DraftKings where the Dodgers are +115, with a tie the most likely outcome at +105.The Mets come in at +280 to win the series.Blackburn had looked solid enough in his rehab assignment, tossing 29 1/3 minor-league innings to a 3.68 ERA, but this is an unfair start to his season when he hasn’t pitched in nearly a full year.I suspect that the Mets will have a quick hook for him on Monday night, and they will need their bats to keep them involved.Fangraphs has these two teams rated No.
3 (Dodgers) and No.5 (Mets), respectively.
I’m not overly enthralled with the idea of betting on the Mets with this starter on the hill, as May’s peripheral stats show that he has been unlucky this year to have a 4.20 ERA thus far.My MLB betting model projects the score to be 5.10 to 3.96 in favor of the Dodgers.It’s a slight edge, but let’s back the Dodgers to take Game 1 of this four-game set on Monday night.THE PLAY: Dodgers ML (-160, bet365)Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting.
During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons.While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment...