The latest fall season outlook by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is out, and it’s calling for balmy and possibly hot conditions for much of the country in the fall.The seasonal outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts whether parts of the country will be above, below or near average for parts of the country for the meteorological fall -- September through November.NOAA’s outlook puts much of the country with a higher chance of a warmer fall than normal, with the highest chance of warmer-than-average temperatures in the Southwest and New England.This means that most of the country will likely be milder than what is usually expected from September to November.The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Seasonal Temperature Outlook suggests much of the U.S.
will see balmy and possibly hot conditions.NOAAHowever, this outlook doesn’t forecast variations that happen over days, weeks, or over one month but rather what the overall average would likely look like.September in a particular region could feature typical fall conditions, but October and November could end up well above normal, swaying the three-month average to above normal for the entire season.What the outlook means for a specific local area depends on the typical climate around it.MORE: Above-normal activity predicted for remainder of 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA saysFor example, average high temperatures for Phoenix, one of the hottest cities in the country, range from 104 degrees at the beginning of fall to 70 degrees towards the end of fall.
New York City ranges from 76 degrees at the start of fall to 54 degrees through November.While the seasonal outlook highlights what is likely for the fall and where abnormal warmth is likely, it doesn’t tell where any extreme heat would be or for how long it would be.It also doesn’t tell where any drastic cooldowns would be or for how long, if there are any.What previous falls have taught ...