Latest data show Californian conundrum: high growth but high unemployment

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California, the epicenter of the artificial intelligence boom, continues to grow its economy faster than the nation, but more people are losing their jobs and the cost of living remains high.New economic indicators released this week show how the Golden State is grappling with the effects of the Iran war, as well as an AI explosion, which is driving huge investments as well as layoffs.The state’s unemployment rate reached 5.3% in April, roughly 1 percentage point higher than the nation’s.
California’s unemployment rate is expected to peak at 5.6% later this year, according to the UCLA Anderson Forecast released this week.Business The sharp rise in gas and diesel prices due to the Iran war is quickly rippling through the world’s fourth-largest economy.The state outpaced the nation in economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2025.
It probably continued to outgrow the country in the first three months of this year, the report said.“Income and output will continue to grow faster than the U.S.even as employment growth is tepid,” senior economist Jerry Nickelsburg wrote in the forecast.
“Once past the current weakness, expected by the middle of next year, a tech, durable goods manufacturing, and construction resurgence should lead to superior growth in both employment and income in the Golden State once again.” The state’s growth is being bolstered by many local companies that are attracting and spending hundreds of billions of dollars in the race to build the software and infrastructure needed for AI.However, there are signs that the same race may be leading to fewer jobs in some sectors.
From January to May, U.S.tech employers announced 123,653 job cuts, up 66% from the same period a year earlier, according to a report Thursday by global outplacement and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
California had close to 77,000 job cuts across all ...