Why Caitlin Clark's poor ball security means you should fade the Indiana Fever against the Phoenix Mercury

Before losing their previous two games to Atlanta, Indy had a four-game winning streak.Phoenix crushed the Seattle Storm 93-73 in its last game, snapping a four-game losing skid.This is the first Mercury-Fever game of the season.
Phoenix beat Indiana in two of their three meetings last year.However, Indy covered the spread twice, and Caitlin Clark didn't play in any of those games.ANGEL REESE AND CAITLIN CLARK EXCHANGE WORDS IN SECOND DREAM-FEVER MEETING IN THREE DAYSCaitlin Clark of the Indiana Fever drives to the basket against Angel Reese of the Atlanta Dream during the second quarter at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia, on June 20, 2026.
(Colin Hubbard/Getty Images)Over her last five games, Clark is scoring 26.0 points on 49.4% shooting and averaging 8.6 assists.But she continues to be careless with the ball; Clark averages a WNBA-worst 4.8 turnovers per game.
This is my favorite reason for taking the points with the Mercury Monday.Clark's mediocre defense and poor decision-making are why she has a -4.3 on/off net rating this year.She has 48 turnovers from "bad passes," which is more than three times as many as her next-closest teammate.As I've written a million times when handicapping hoops, the "battle for possessions" is the most important thing in basketball.
This is where the matchup favors the Mercury, who have better turnover rates on both ends of the floor.Caitlin Clark debuts new Nike signature shoe in loss to Atlanta Dream.(Photo by A.J.
Mast/NBAE via Getty Images) ((Photo by A.J.Mast/NBAE via Getty Images))Furthermore, Phoenix is the oldest team in the Association, featuring six-time All-Stars, forward Alyssa Thomas and wing DeWanna Bonner.
The Mercury's veterans can take advantage of an Indiana team that makes too many mistakes.ZERO BS.JUST DAKICH.
TAKE THE DON'T @ ME PODCAST ON THE ROAD.DOWNLOAD NOW!Also, I'm just going off the stats because I don't watch much WNBA, but I'm fascinated by Thomas' game.
She has made seven WNBA All-Defensiv...