Exclusive | GOP claims it will pick up NY House seats despite Trumps unpopularity

Republicans are in a strong position to pick up congressional seats in New York in November, a defiant new GOP analysis claims — while Dems laughed off the notion as “fantasy.”The analysis by the National Republican Campaign Committee suggests that GOP gubernatorial candidate and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman will run strong in the suburbs and upstate against Democratic incumbent Gov.Hochul — providing headwinds for party House candidates in some of the regions’ swing districts.“In New York, Republicans are in the strongest electoral position possible because while Kathy Hochul and Zohran Mamdani run the Empire State into the ground, Republicans are delivering,” said NRCC Committee spokeswoman Maureen O’Toole.“Taxes are down, communities are safer, and New Yorkers have President Trump and Republicans to thank for it.” But the analysis ignores how deeply unpopular Trump is in the state: A Siena College poll released last week found that only 32% of New York voters view him favorably, while 63% view him unfavorably.In the suburbs, where some key House races are being held, only 33% viewed Trump favorably and 60% unfavorably.New York State Democratic Party Chairman Jay Jacobs laughed off the GOP analysis.“I don’t think anyone is going to believe this fantasy,” Jacobs said.

“Donald Trump is the most unpopular president since Richard Nixon.”But Blakeman won re-election as Nassau County executive last year by an impressive 11 percentage points after winning 50.3% of the vote in 2021, when he toppled Democratic incumbent Laura Curran, the NRCC analysis noted.Republicans also swept every countywide office in Nassau on Long Island in 2025.Within the 3rd Congressional District occupied by Democratic Rep.Tom Suozzi, Blakeman carried Suozzi’s hometown of Glen Cove.

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