Reds' moneyline pick offers value against Rockies despite Brady Singer's road ERA

Each team tends to win about a third of its games, lose a third, and then make the difference in its season with the remaining third.I come back to that idea a lot as I put together bets, because some are very streaky, others are consistent, and some are wild, where you can't tell which third they are lumping into at the time.
I'm hoping not to get humbled and find the right spot for this game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Colorado Rockies.The Reds may be in one of their worst moments of the season.They are 43-52 for the year, and that has to be frustrating considering they started the year strong and have had some really nice stretches.
They were 20-11 going into May; since then, they've gone 23-41.That's obviously a really tough portion of the year, but perhaps that's the stretch where they are losing the majority of the games.
They were better at the All-Star break last season and made the postseason, but perhaps they can make a run this year.This is not a team that should be losing two of every three games for the remainder of the year.Cincinnati Reds pitcher Brady Singer throws a pitch in the first inning of a game against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday, July 9, 2026, at Great American Ball Park in downtown Cincinnati.
(Frank Bowen IV, The Cincinnati Enquirer)Looking to get them back on track to start the second half of the year is Brady Singer.For the year, Singer is 3-9 with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP.
Those aren't overly strong numbers, and he has struggled to a 6.75 road ERA, but Singer is a fairly reliable starter.He is also pitching the best baseball of his season with just 12 earned runs allowed over his past 38.2 innings in June and July.
He hasn't faced the Rockies this season, but collectively, the team is 11-for-49 against him.REDS ANNOUNCERS FUME AT 'MIDDLE SCHOOL MISTAKE' VS DIVISION RIVAL CUBS AS HORRID LOSING STREAK CONTINUESThe Rockies are not a team that I talk about a lot.They are a club that hasn't been relevant in years, ...