UFC Fight Night predictions: Vegas 120 picks, best bets for the entire card

Last week was one of the wildest UFC cards we’ve ever seen with an obscene 12 finishes in Serbia. The promotion returns to Las Vegas this weekend with 12 more bouts, and nine of them are projected to end inside the distance once again. Decisions are becoming more and more a rarity in the UFC with this weekend’s card looking interesting to target. The promotion returns to it’s regular start time at 5 p.m.ET, with the prelims before the main card begins at 8 p.m. One of these two fighters will jump into title competition with a win on Saturday. Mateusz Gamrot impressively won by submission last time out against a dangerous Esteban Ribovics, while Quillan Salkilld has three straight finishes in the first round against solid competition. Salkilld is a short favorite here, and I think that’s a fair line even with Gamrot owning a grappling advantage in theory. Salkilld is going to look much bigger in the octagon at six feet tall compared to Gamrot’s 5-foot-11-inch height. The Australian Salkilld also has an advantage with a 70.5” reach and has phenomenal striking and power to go along with it. We’ve seen Gamrot beat some of the best fighters in the world, including Arman Tsarukyan, but his loss to Dan Hooker shows that while he has a high ceiling, his floor is just as low. I think Salkilld’s moneyline is plenty enough value to target on Saturday as I firmly believe he could be a title contender. Recommendation: Salkilld moneyline (-142, DraftKings) Two of the older guard fighters face off at lightweight as Diego Ferreira (41) faces off against Billy Quarantillo (37). It’s a fight to look at with skeptical eyes, as we haven’t seen Quarantillo in the octagon since 2024, and when we were seeing him, he was really struggling, having lost three of his past four fights. Ferreira hasn’t exactly done much better, losing two straight in 2025 and doesn’t have a win since May 2024. It’s a weird co-main event and kind of random with no real s...