Travis Kelce prop prediction: Take advantage of Kelces discounted line in his 14th season

Remember Travis Kelce — the football player?Since becoming Taylor Swift’s husband has seemingly overshadowed his identity, you’d almost think the game is merely a hobby for the 36-year-old.At least that’s how the masses see things, and evidently trading rooms, too. The Chiefs went from dynasty to disaster last season, missing the playoffs for the first time since 2014.

It was also the first time they failed to win the AFC West in 10 years. If there’s any common denominator throughout the success of three Super Bowls and seven AFC Championship appearances in the span, it’s Kelce, Patrick Mahomes, and Andy Reid.Mahomes and Kelce’s rapport is arguably the greatest quarterback-tight end tandem of all time, but after the former fell to an ACL tear in Week 15, their fate was all but sealed after already withstanding key injuries all season. Although Kelce’s production, which was already regressing, took a blow, he still managed to top his career-low 2024 output by 23 yards.

And he did that on 25 fewer targets, 21 fewer catches, and three games of Chris Oladokun under center, no less.Mahomes has achieved a full recovery and is on track to start Week 1 at Arrowhead Stadium against the Broncos.He’ll also have a restored offensive line in front of him after it collapsed to injury late last year, which will buy him more time to find his targets. In the meantime, sportsbooks feel as though Kelce is still honeymooning on a hammock somewhere: his 2026 receiving yardage prop stands at 675.5 at FanDuel, a 175.5-yard drop from his 2025 total. Let’s not forget that even if the Chiefs lost their mojo, the offense still ran through Kelce as he led the team in yards, targets, and catches and tied for the most receiving scores.

Of course, that’s primarily due to the fact that Rashee Rice missed the first six games due to suspension and Xavier Worthy dislocated his shoulder three snaps into the campaign. Even so, Kelce would need only 79.4 percent of last s...