If you think you know who’s winning the midterms, I have some bad news.The voters who will decide them are just starting to pay attention.I say this as someone who loves polls.They tell us what people care about, what they’re worried about and where the political opportunities are.FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS: VOTERS SAY THEY’RE IN ECONOMIC PAIN, BUT WILL DEMOCRATS GAIN?But summer horse-race numbers come with a giant asterisk:The electorate isn’t finished yet.We saw it all summer.In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed appeared headed toward a comfortable Democratic Senate primary victory.
He won by about a point.LEE CARTER: ELECTION SHOCKER: THE WINNERS HAD A SLOGAN; THE LOSERS JUST HAD RÉSUMÉSIn Wisconsin, Francesca Hong led David Crowley by roughly 20 points in two polls.Crowley won.In Minnesota, a public poll had Angie Craig ahead of Peggy Flanagan by two.
Flanagan won by nearly 20.100 DAYS UNTIL MIDTERMS AND DEMOCRATS ARE WINNING BECAUSE THEY ACTUALLY HAVE A MESSAGEThe lesson isn’t that polls are wrong.It’s that voters move.And now comes the part of the campaign when they start moving.Labor Day is the unofficial beginning of the election season for the people who don’t spend August obsessing over politics.Which is to say: most people.They don’t know who won the week.They didn’t see the viral clip.
They aren’t refreshing the generic ballot.They have never described themselves as "low-propensity voters."They’re busy.And politics has developed a very bad habit of confusing the people who are paying the most attention with the people who will ultimately decide the election.CAN THE 'BEST SHOWMAN IN POLITICS' DELIVER AGAIN? GOP BETS ON TRUMP AT HISTORIC MIDTERM CONVENTIONWe confuse loud with large.A few thousand furious people can generate an enormous amount of internet.Millions of people wondering why their grocery bill is still so high can generate almost none.Then Election Day comes along and counts them exactly the same.This is why I’m less intereste...