Iran could move shadow war in a dangerous direction, experts warn on back of two possible terror attacks

The FlyDubai stabbing is contributing to concerns that Iran could increase covert and deniable attacks as the conflict with the United States and Israel drags on.British Prime Minister Andy Burnham, meanwhile, said there are "strong indications" Iran played a role in a suspected terror plot near RAF Fairford, the British air base used by U.S.forces during operations against Iran.
Counterterrorism police have since arrested a dual UK-Iranian national on suspicion of preparing terrorist acts.The two suspected attacks are raising questions over whether Iran's war strategy is shifting, but experts caution not to treat the incidents as equally indicative of Iranian involvement — or evidence yet that Tehran has changed its tactics.FLYDUBAI PILOT SHOWED WORLD 'THE HIGHEST FORM OF COURAGE,' INDIA'S PM SAYSPresident Donald Trump said early information he has received points to a possible Iranian connection to the attack aboard an Israel-bound FlyDubai flight, where a co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain and attempted to crash the aircraft with more than 180 people aboard.A FlyDubai aircraft carrying Israelis who experienced an emergency landing in Saudi Arabia is seen parked at Ben Gurion International Airport, near Tel Aviv, Israel, Wednesday, Sept.30, 2026.
(Ariel Schalit/AP)The United Arab Emirates and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have described the FlyDubai incident as terrorism, but UAE authorities have not publicly attributed the attack to Iran.Neither investigation has publicly established that the Iranian government directed the attacks, and Iran has denied involvement in the Fairford case.Daniel Byman, director of the Warfare, Irregular Threats and Terrorism Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the Fairford case fits more closely with Iran's recent use of hired operatives and other intermediaries."The attack on the airbase in the United Kingdom does fit more recent patterns," Byman told Fox News Digital, while stres...