Midwest pro-Trump state could hold key to Republicans' midterm hopes

DES MOINES, Iowa — House Republicans are pinning hopes of keeping their majority on a state that President Donald Trump won by roughly 13 points in November 2024.And while Iowa has leaned red in recent years, Republicans are now finding themselves defending three of its four congressional districts as polls give Democrats more hope by the day that the key to a blue wave runs through the Midwest.But Republicans are dismissing public perception surveys as a political cudgel used by the media and the left to discourage GOP voters, while insisting the results will come down to one thing."Nobody knows what's going to happen on November 3rd.But I'm here to tell you, if our people show up, we win.

If our people don't show up … then we're going to be scratching and clawing to hang on to every inch that we've got," House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, R-Minn., told a room of GOP supporters in Dubuque, Iowa, on Thursday.MEDIA NARRATIVE PREDICTING BLUE WAVE IN KEY BATTLEGROUND STATE NOT MESHING WITH LOCAL REPUBLICANS: 'FIRED UP'President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a rally at the Iowa State Fairgrounds, on July 3, 2025, in Des Moines, Iowa.(Alex Brandon/AP Photo)Fox News Digital joined Emmer and several other House Republicans on a two-district swing in Iowa late last week.

The No.3 House GOP leader spent his afternoon at an event for congressional candidate Joe Mitchell in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, followed by a fundraiser for Rep.

Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, in Des Moines in the evening.At both events, he argued that polling showing Democrats with a growing advantage was incorrect, but he and others are still warning that getting Republicans out to vote will be key to the party’s success."Republicans do not like to participate in surveys," Emmer told people Thursday evening in Des Moines."We are very suspicious of the people who are giving the information to and the databases they’re putting us in.

By the way, there are Republicans who answer these surveys who m...

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