Fox News Power Rankings: As Iran looms large, can the GOP keep the faithful?
It seems like there are two electorates in these midterms.The first is frustrated with President Donald Trump and ready to reject Republicans.It includes growing numbers of independent, rural and Hispanic voters who say they’ll vote for a Democrat.That’s what the latest round of House polling shows, including a survey last week that had Democrats up 11 points on the generic ballot, and Fox’s most recent national poll.SCHOEN, COOPERMAN: DEMOCRATS COULD BE RIDING A MIDTERM WAVE.
THESE NUMBERS SHOULD TERRIFY THE GOPFox News Power Rankings House forecast.(Remy Numa/Fox News)The second electorate is wavering on Republicans but won’t necessarily hand Democrats the Senate.
These are the voters in the Midwest and a few other places.They say they prefer the Democrat or Republican in their states by a point or two at most.That’s the right conclusion from most of the battleground Senate polling.How could both things be true? In other words, if Democrats have such a wide lead in the House, won’t the Senate fall too?Both are true, and a big lead in the House doesn’t necessarily translate to the Senate.
These voters are all in the same electorate, and they only seem divorced from each other because the House and Senate maps are so far apart this year.DEMOCRATS THINK A BLUE WAVE IS BUILDING.HERE ARE 3 FORCES THAT COULD STOP ITFox News Power Rankings Senate forecast.
(Remy Numa/Fox News)The president’s declining approval rating and Democratic advantages on the issues will likely deliver them the House and possibly by many seats.Those advantages have also allowed the blue team to play in a lot of Senate races that Republicans thought were unreachable, but only to the point of making them battlegrounds.The road to a Senate majority goes through several states that Trump won by 11 points or more.Democrats can win any of these races.
If Republicans turn out and stay loyal to their party, the climb for the left will be steep.That’s why the Senate is a toss-up.Vot...