Inflation Accelerated in October, PCE Index Shows

Consumer prices accelerated in September, which could bolster the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in December after forgoing an increase this week.Prices, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, increased 0.5 percent in September from a month earlier and 3.6 percent compared with the same time last year, according to a report released on Thursday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.The pickup in prices provided further confirmation that inflation is running hotter than Fed officials would like.

Their target, as measured by P.C.E., is to keep the annual increase near 2 percent over time.“Core” prices, which exclude more volatile categories like food and energy, jumped 3.1 percent in September annually and rose 0.3 percent from a month earlier.That month-over-month increase was also 0.3 percent in August.The numbers come a day after Fed officials voted 10 to 2 to keep interest rates steady, after raising them last month.

Two Fed officials dissented and voted to raise rates on Wednesday, including Lisa D.Cook, a Fed governor.

Investors expect that officials are likely to raise rates again at their last meeting of the year, in December, and possibly several times next year.A big factor pushing up prices this year has been a severe energy crunch created by the war with Iran.Choked-off energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices soaring, which have rippled across the U.S.

economy.On Wednesday, Kevin M.Warsh, the Fed’s chairman, said the U.S.

economy was strong but acknowledged that inflation remained elevated.The meeting underscored that the board felt it had more flexibility to gather more data on the state of the economy before raising borrowing costs again.The data also showed that Americans’ personal income grew more slowly last month.

Thursday’s release showed personal income increased 0.2 percent, less than the 0.3 percent increase reported in August....

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Publisher: The New York Times

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