SCHOEN, COOPERMAN: Democrats close in as Republicans scramble to hold Congress

In the closing days of the 2026 midterm cycle, all available evidence suggests that the trends are moving in Democrats’ favor.Polls, forecasts, and prediction markets are now ringing alarm bells for Republicans, as virtually all key races move in Democrats’ direction.Indeed, on Saturday, Cook Political Report shifted "a dozen more House races" toward Democrats, now projecting that Democrats will flip 12-25 House seats, potentially giving them their largest majority since 2009.As a result, political forecasting sites VoteHub and Decision Desk have updated their odds of Democrats taking the House to their highest levels of the cycle: 89% and 83%, respectively, as of Sunday afternoon.EVERYTHING TO KNOW ABOUT HOUSE AND SENATE CONTROL, BALLOT MEASURES AND 2026 ELECTION DAY POLL CLOSINGPrediction markets have followed suit: Kalshi gives Democrats a 93% chance to take the House and a 71% chance to win the Senate as well.To that end, the trends in the Senate point in the same direction, and while Republicans have slightly better odds of keeping the upper chamber, it’s clear that the momentum is with Democrats.SENATE CONTROL IS A COIN FLIP — AND DEMOCRATS’ PATH RUNS THROUGH TRUMP COUNTRYFinal polls ahead of the election show all or most of the seven key races shifting to the left, including in Kansas, where Democrat Adam Hamilton leads in the four most recent polls, including one from The Washington Post in which he led Republican incumbent Roger Marshall by 9%.True, that is an outlier – and its accuracy is being reviewed by The Washington Post – but the fact that every other poll is within 6 points in a state that has not had a Democratic senator in over 90 years indicates that the underlying trend is moving in Democrats’ favor.MAINE, KANSAS SENATE RACES NECK AND NECK AS DEMOCRATS LEAD IN TEXAS, MICHIGAN, POLL SHOWSOther Republican-held seats like South Carolina, Iowa, Maine, Texas, and Ohio are also increasingly within reach for Democrats.Of those races, S...

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Publisher: Fox News

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