Dem pollster dishes on which California election day races will be called early and which may take days

Californians eager to know the state’s next governor will have their answer almost immediately Tuesday night — but voters waiting to see who wins the Los Angeles mayor’s race, San Francisco’s congressional race and the billionaire tax fight may be waiting for days, according to a top Democratic pollster.Paul Mitchell, the mapmaker for California’s Proposition 50 gerrymandering effort last year to combat President Trump and Republicans in other states, told The California Post that Democrat Xavier Becerra will be declared the winner over republican Steve Hilton in the governor’s race in nanoseconds.“I’m joking, but it’s going to be instant,” said Mitchell, vice president of Political Data Inc.The biggest news, opinion and culture shaping California right now.

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Never miss a story Meanwhile, Mitchell said that several House races — as well as the Los Angeles mayor’s race and the proposed billionaire tax — could take longer to sort out as later returns test whether early leads can hold.Mitchell said polling in the governor’s race closely tracked last year’s vote on Prop.50, which was projected to pass shortly after polls closed.

He expects the governor’s race to break along similar partisan lines.Some of the toughest calls, however, could come where both candidates are Democrats.The San Francisco congressional contest between state Sen.Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan for Rep.

Nancy Pelosi’s seat could go unresolved until Friday, Mitchell said.So could the Los Angeles congressional race between Rep.

Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres.Mitchell estimated Gomez might need a four-point lead Tuesday night to hold on.In Sacramento, he put that cushion at six points for Democratic Rep.

Doris Matsui against far-left City Councilmember Mai Vang.“That’s going to shift over tim...

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Publisher: New York Post

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