Phillies vs. Marlins betting preview: Aaron Nola's struggles meet Sandy Alcantara's home ERA edge

I took two losses yesterday, and both were on coinflip games.I acknowledged that in both articles, and unfortunately, we couldn't get the games to bounce our way.
Neither one of the games was a blowout loss or bad choices.The teams just didn't get the wins that I was expecting them to get.
Instead, we lost both games 3-2.Let us try to dodge that fate here as we take on the Phillies and Marlins.The Philadelphia Phillies seem to have cooled off a bit after their hot stretch.
They aren't playing poorly by any means, but they just aren't quite as successful as they had been.In July, they are just 9-12 and have lost five of their past six games.
Maybe they just need to find a groove after the All-Star Break because they have gone 3-7 in the second half.Two of those wins have come in games that Christopher Sanchez has started.Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola tosses the rosin bag during the third inning of a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Sunday, July 9, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)The Phillies have a bit of a problem with their rotation.Overall, the team has a 4.25 ERA, and that is with Sanchez and Zach Wheeler owning a sub-three ERA.
Today they send out Aaron Nola, who has struggled quite a bit this season.For the year, Nola is just 3-8 with a 5.82 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP.
He does have 112 strikeouts this season, which is good for slightly more than one strikeout per inning.He also has been a little better on the road, but still has a 5.06 ERA.
Arguably, his best outing of the season came against the Marlins when he went six innings, allowed five hits, and no runs.Overall, though, the Marlins are hitting .300 against him in 40 at-bats.Miami Marlins pitcher Sandy Alcantara pitches during the fourth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, Calif., on April 29, 2026.
(Kiyoshi Mio/Imagn Images)The Miami Marlins are now just below .500, but still making good progress this year.The All-Star Break prove...