Fox News Poll: A Senate battle looms in Michigan

In Michigan, while more Democrats than Republicans are concerned about their candidates’ ideological views, Democrats are also more engaged and enthusiastic about the upcoming election, setting up a battle in the Wolverine State.After a heated Democratic primary, progressive Abdul El-Sayed secured the Senate nomination and will face Republican Mike Rogers this fall as Democrats try to retake the Senate.According to a Fox News survey of Michigan registered voters, Rogers has the edge in the race with 51% to El-Sayed’s 47% — within the survey’s margin of sampling error.Rogers’ edge comes mostly from greater party unity among Republicans.Nearly all Republicans (96%), including both MAGA (99%) and non-MAGA Republicans (89%), back Rogers.

Only a week after winning the primary race, 9 in 10 Democrats (91%) and nearly all Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) supporters (98%) back El-Sayed, but that falls to 69% among non-DSA Democrats and independents.The small subgroup of independents narrowly favors Rogers.FOX NEWS POLL: NEW MATCHUP, SAME RESULT: MAINE SENATE RACE STAYS LOCKEDEl-Sayed’s coalition includes liberal voters, Black voters, urban residents, and women with a college degree.Rogers’ best groups are conservatives, White evangelical Christians, rural voters, and White men without a degree.Men favor Rogers by 11 points (44% El-Sayed vs.

55% Rogers) while women are split (49-48%). President Donald Trump won the Wolverine State in 2016 and 2024, each time by less than 2 points, while former President Joe Biden won by nearly 3 points in 2020.El-Sayed is underperforming with Black voters, women, and suburban voters compared with former Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election.Rogers similarly trails Trump’s 2024 support among voters under age 30 and independents.

That’s according to the 2024 Michigan Fox News Voter Analysis (FNVA).Voter enthusiasm for their candidate is evident on both sides: about three-quarters of each can...