Liberty vs. Sky prediction: WNBA odds, picks, best bets for Tuesday

The Liberty have been on an upswing since late July and look to keep the good vibes rolling when they head to Chicago to face the Sky Tuesday night.The Liberty enter the game as road 4.5-point favorites, but their record against the spread on the road has been abysmal this season — they are 3-15 ATS in road games and 1-11 ATS as a road favorite.New York has a 9-2 record over its past 11 games and should be well-rested with two days off since their last game.The Sky are coming off a three-game road trip that ended Sunday in Seattle.The Liberty certainly haven’t been perfect over this past month, but their offense has been one of the best in the league recently.

Since the start of their 11-game run, they have the fourth-highest scoring offense in the league at 117.3 points per 100 possessions.The Sky, who struggle to score, have been a good defensive team all season.They defend the paint with the best teams in the W and guard the 3-point line well.

The Liberty love to play in the paint and take a ton of 3s, but I expect they’ll have a tough time generating good shots against this defense.For much of the season, the Over has been a good bet for both the Liberty and the Sky, but this feels like a great spot to fade.With the total at 182.5 or higher, the Over is 0-4 in Sky games and 4-3 in Liberty games. The lack of offense coming from Chicago’s side makes me question whether there will be enough combined scoring to get this game over the threshold.I’ll take the Under here; expect the Liberty to have to claw their way to a win in the Windy City.The Play: Under 182.5 (-110, bet365) Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports betting industry since 2017.

He’s a data nerd with a particular focus on the NBA and combat sports.He spends his weeknights in the winter looking for edges on plus-money NBA player props....