Exclusive | Midterms wont be blue wave or red wave only knife fights in dark alleys, GOP campaign boss says

DALLAS — The era of big wave elections in House races is over — at least for the remainder of the decade, according to the official House GOP campaign boss.Instead, there will only be “knife fights” in “dark alleys” due to the lack of swing districts caused by scorched-earth gerrymandering, National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) Chairman Richard Hudson (R-NC) told The Post.“I call it 30 knife fights in 30 dark alleys,” Hudson explained.

“It’s just a handful of races, but every one of them will be decided by a few thousand votes.It’s going to be close.”Hudson expected that dynamic to remain until at least the next census, which will shake up the apportionment of House seats and prompt states to redraw congressional district borders.

Before 2020, the House was prone to massive swings.In 2018, for instance, Democrats achieved a net gain of 41 seats.

In 2010, Republicans had a net gain of 64 seats.But in the most recent midterm cycle of 2022, Republicans only netted 10 seats, giving them a functionally five-seat majority.

Many media pundits and political observers have dubbed Republicans the underdogs in the race for control of the lower chamber.Prediction market Kalshi currently gives Democrats an 84% chance of flipping the House.

The party in control of the White House has lost House seats in all but two elections since 1938.Given that Republicans have a silver-thin majority, prognosticators have expected them to lose control of the chamber.

But GOP leadership has universally and adamantly contended that they have a clear path to hold the majority despite the expectations.“They’re not looking at the facts on the ground.

They’re not looking at actual polling in the districts that are up for grabs,” Hudson replied when asked about what the prognosticators have been getting wrong.“We’ve never had as small a map as we have for this midterm.”“There’s never been this few seats that are actually up for grabs,” ...