NFL Week 4 confidence pool rankings: Ravens will keep their rhythm going against feeble Titans

All bets are off. Favorites went 6-10 in Week 3: the Rams allowed 30 second-half points from the Broncos, ugly turnovers cost the Seahawks and Aaron Rodgers lit up the Bengals for 411 yards. It also marked three straight weeks of an underdog of 6.5 points or more mounting an upset with the Falcons’ 35-14 win over the Packers. Although the Chiefs (-6.5) let the Dolphins hang around, they converted as our highest confidence pick; the Seahawks (-3.5) were our biggest bust at 13 points. Recency bias only counts for so much in the NFL, and Week 4 offers the sketchiest slate yet.Baltimore’s ground game and ball security ultimately prevailed in its enthralling shootout against Dallas.The bust-o’-meter is beginning to tick on Cam Ward.  The Jaguars’ 35-6 thrashing of New England is beginning to reveal the Patriots’ offensive problems aren’t just rust.

What can Drake Maye realistically conjure opposite Josh Allen in Buffalo?If Case Keenum can make it rain on primetime in his first start in three seasons, it’s clear Ben Johnson is running a fine-tuned machine.Without Breece Hall, the Jets are that much more at a deficit. Are the Vikings back? At least the defense is.

Kyler Murray can continue settling in against a Dolphins team that could realistically go 0-17. Both undefeated, the Chiefs and Raiders are proving their respective doubters wrong.Kansas City just has much, much less to prove.

Let’s reconvene about Las Vegas after this one. A win as dominant as the Jaguars’ over New England counts for something.Their defense is No.

1 overall and Trevor Lawrence is slinging.Cincinnati’s defense revealed old habits are still a problem. Even after a loud start from Bryce Young, a road loss to the Browns changed the Panthers’ outlook instantly.

Detroit’s defense can’t keep points off the board, but Jahmyr Gibbs is the difference-maker against everyone. Not that Baker Mayfield was carrying Tampa Bay anyway, the Bucs’ issues are far deeper.T...