NFL Week 5 Survivor picks, analysis: Armageddon of games to sort through
Everyone survived to Week 5. Very few big upsets last week in the league, as the vast majority of players advanced, with the Vikings and Ravens leading the pack with over 80 percent of entrants in the big Circa Survivor pool.This week could easily be a bloodbath, though. There are no favorites of more than one score to choose from this week – you’re walking on eggshells and land mines in this week’s Survivor tournament.Below we break down my favorite plays for Week 5 of the NFL season.Dallas’ defense is steadily improving this year, and Jalon Daniels, who I actually like, will have a tough time here on short notice. My model has the Cowboys slightly overvalued on the spread, making them seven-point favorites against eight points on BetMGM.The Cowboys will easily be the most used team in Survivor this week because they face a team on a short week with an undrafted rookie quarterback. If Dallas were on the road, I’d be more interested in bailing on them, but on the road, I think they are rightfully the top team in pools this week.Miami has been a disaster this season, but Cincinnati isn’t the top option this week because of injuries.It looks like Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase are battling injuries, which would give most of us a legitimate pause in taking them on the road. Still, this is the best use of the Bengals you will see all season, so don’t be too afraid to pull the trigger.Miami is the No.32 team in DVOA, posting No.
30 in offense and No.28 in defense, respectively. The Bengals are rated No.
7 in DVOA, but injury concerns here may need your attention.There’s no way you should be on Detroit this week.Jahmyr Gibbs looks exhausted and they’re ready to hit the bye week.
The Carolina Panthers just destroyed Detroit’s defense and the Lions might really struggle against Arizona.Under no circumstances should you be on the Lions, I think the Cardinals win outright.
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt ...