Fox News Power Rankings: As the House falls, the Senate stays in play
There are two big differences between the previous Trump-era midterms and this year’s contest.The first is the president’s approval rating, which is lower now than it was during President Donald Trump’s first term in 2018 or President Joe Biden’s term in 2022.The second is Democrats’ generic ballot lead, which is wider and more enduring than it was in the 2018 "blue wave" election and much larger than the edge the GOP had in 2022.Combined with Democrats’ candidate quality improvements and a Republican-led redistricting effort that could fall short of expectations, the House is likely out of reach for the GOP this year.REPUBLICANS FACE BRUTAL MIDTERM HEADWINDS.SIX FORCES COULD HELP THEM DEFY HISTORY.Fox News Power Rankings - House.
(Remy Numa/Fox News)Then there’s a similarity: in all three elections, the Senate has been in play right up until the finish line.In Trump’s first term, the Republicans ended up gaining two Senate seats despite a gloomy national environment.Four years ago, with inflation surging, the Democrats managed to add a Senate seat to their tally.12 RACES SCRAMBLE SENATE BATTLEFIELD AS DEMOCRATS EYE COMEBACKFox News Power Rankings Senate forecast.
(Remy Numa/Fox News)The Democrats have plentiful paths to 51 seats on election night.Republicans keep plowing money into six toss-up states, plus Kansas, and those efforts haven’t much moved the needle.Yet the GOP’s paths to 50 are getting wider.
That, plus a major update to the House forecast, in this week’s edition of the Power Rankings.The Democratic Party has enjoyed a lead in the House all year.Now, as another 20 races shift leftward, this forecast sees the Democrats taking control.THE BLUE WAVE LOOKS REAL UNTIL YOU LOOK A LITTLE CLOSERFox News Power Rankings House forecast.
(Remy Numa/Fox News)Democrats have an advantage in at least 219 seats, while Republicans should hold on to at least 198 seats.There are 18 toss-ups on the board.On a good night for the Democrats, the par...