Kent State vs. Bowling Green odds, picks, predictions: Best bets for Tuesday MACtion clash

This is what MACtion is all about.Two teams in the middle of terrible seasons duking it out on the ESPN family of networks on a Tuesday night.Eddie George’s Bowling Green Falcons are six-point favorites over Kent State in a battle between two programs ranked outside the top 125 in the latest SP+ rankings.The only thing missing on Tuesday night will be some nasty weather.
Forecasts look promising for this contest at Doyt L.Perry Stadium.You would be hard-pressed to find a matchup between two worse offenses this season.We’ll start with Bowling Green, because somehow the Falcons are the A-side of this matchup between two schools averaging under 19 points per game.The Falcons do boast a somewhat competent defense, at least by MAC standards, but the offense is a drag.
They’re averaging 4.6 yards per play (126th), 3.4 yards per rush (115th), and 6.5 yards per pass (105th).The offensive line has been especially poor, as Bowling Green ranks 103rd in sack rate.
That pressure has led to plenty of mistakes from quarterback Jay Kastantin, who has thrown eight picks against just 11 touchdowns this season.And that’s the better offense in this matchup.Kent State is averaging 11.6 points per game this season, and the Golden Flashes have scored 10 or fewer points in six of their eight contests against FBS opponents, including in a 31-10 loss to Sacramento State, arguably the worst team in the division, last time out.The defenses on display Tuesday night are far from special, but neither one of them should be tested by these offenses.Weird stuff can happen during MACtion, but I have a really hard time coming up with ways this game gets above the 45.5-point total.The Play: Under 45.5 points (-118, DraftKings)Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry.He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and ...