Got the blues: NY, California will lose a combined 6 House seats after 2030, census figures analysis shows

It’s the blue state blues.Democratic strongholds New York and California will lose a combined six congressional seats after 2030 to the booming sunbelt, according to an analysis of census figures released Tuesday.The Redistricting Network projected that New York State will lose two more seats in the House of Representatives in the next decade because of stagnant population growth, which critics say is more evidence of an Empire State in decline.And Americans are no longer California Dreamin’ after decades of population growth — with the Golden State projected to lose four seats, the analysis said.By contrast, booming Texas and Florida would gain four seats apiece with rapid population growth, according to the network.The analysis was prepared by Jonathan Cervas of Carnegie Mellon University, based on released state-by-state 2025 population estimates recently released by the Census Bureau.Cervas is a redistricting expert who was appointed by the court to redraw New York House maps in 2022 following a partisan legal fight between Democrats and Republicans.“This is not good news for New York or California,” said Jeff Wice, a New York Law School lawyer who has aided the New York City Council in redrawing district lines.He said the blue states could lose even more seats if President Trump and Republicans are able to require a question on census forms asking about citizenship, which will later help determine states’ populations.While the US constitution requires that all residents be counted regardless of legal status, Wice said, a question about citizenship could discourage illegal immigrants or others with questionable status from answering the form.For the Empire State it’s the latest bad news about its sway in the House after it dropped from 45 representatives in the mid 1940s to just 26 today.It’s delegation would be reduced to 24 if the analysis’ predictions hold true.The New York Republican Party blamed the population plunge to Gov.

Kathy Hochul ...