NFL Week 6 player props picks, best bets: Nico Collins, Jake Ferguson are poised for big games
The story of 2026 player prop betting turns around this week.No more betting on struggling players to get it right: We know where the Chargers stand, and there are no bets worth targeting on their No.32-ranked offense in DVOA. Tyler Shough did not record a rushing yard for the first time in his NFL career as Minnesota’s Brian Flores-led defense suffocated the Saints.We hit some bets, and you won some money on Demario Douglas, but it wasn’t the week we wanted.Week 6 NFL player props offer much more hope than last week. RECORD: 6-8 (-2 units) | Long shots: 1-11 (-5.85 units) I think the numbers are deflated here because of the Texans’ trade of Marvin Harrison Jr., but that doesn’t stop me from backing Nico Collins this week.In a must-win game on Sunday in London, the Texans have their man-coverage destroyer to go to. Collins’ total has been between 71.5 and 72.5 in each of the three games he’s played, so this number is a tick down from normal. Over the last three seasons, Collins has destroyed man coverage, achieving an obscene 4.32 yards per route run, which the Jaguars use second most in the league in high-leverage spots. Collins’ recent games against the Jaguars also tell a story of a player who Jacksonville simply cannot contain.He has at least 100 yards in five straight games against the Jaguars, including both matchups last year.Here are his marks in those five meetings: 136 yards, 104 yards, 119 yards, 151 yards, and 104 yards. Collins is a must-bet in this spot, Harrison Jr.’s arrival is irrelevant to him. Jake Ferguson had a case of the drops last week for Dallas and we’re getting a massive discount on him this week as a result.As is always the goal in sports wagering, we’re looking to get the best numbers and values on players.On “Sunday Night Football,” we have a massive projected total of 52.5 total points between the Cowboys and Packers, implying seven touchdowns will be scored in this game.Let’s buy the dip here and say...